Tuesday, September 2, 2014

Good Form Preview - Tuesday Night @ Bray

Jason Bonnington's (@jasonbonnington) Preview for Ballarat
It would a little silly of me to welcome punters to Good Form 2.0 as Blake Redden already started the party yesterday afternoon but this is my first taste of the new world & it would be a huge understatement to say that I am pumped! Tonight's Ballarat card is not an easy one but I'm relying pretty heavily on my Speed Maps for the 3 Best Bets I've outlined and for class rising to the top if we're to profit from the Money Races too.

Best Bet(s) - $30 win
Race 8 No.4 - Narra Operative $6
Classievale is a potential superstar when right but I'm willing to risk him second-up here in favour of this very tough pacer who was excellent mast start and may even bully his way to the front tonight. I also think he'll benefit with Jason lee in the bike so back him straight out & he'll give you a great run for your dough.

Best Value - $20 win
Race 6 No.8 - Le Premiere $4.80
A few things will have to go right for this fellow to salute but if he gets the soft run I'm expecting from the trailing draw and then sees some clear running in the lane, I think he'll be super tough to hold out. 

Race 7 No.2 - Bit Of A Babe $4.20
This local mare has been tackling the best of her gender and generation in recent starts and should really relish being back home over the 1710m trip. She'll cross and lead these early on for sure and if there's as little pressure as expected she can shoot for all-the-way success.

Money Race(s)
Race 1 $60 worth of Flexi Trifectas
The three big guns here are Clipper (6), Grand Attack (7) & In The Trenches (11). Despite their poor draws they should all end up racing handy & fighting out the finish with limited other runners who can join them on the dais.

6,7,11/ 6,7,11/ 6,7,10,11,13 $54 gets 225%
6,7,11/ 6,7,11/ 8,9 $6 gets 50%

Race 2 $40 worth of Flexi Trifectas
Royal Dream (8) & Drunken Maniac (3) have both raced better and looked better than their rivals here today & should fight this race out between them if both stay in gait with Aldebaran Etta (1) & Only One Aussie (6) the other placegetting hopes engaged.

3,8/ 3,8/ 1,6 $20 gets 500%
3,8/ 1,6/ 1,3,6,8 $20 gets 150%

Race 6 $60 worth of Flexi Trifectas
Unless something happens early on these four horses look to have something significant on their rivals and if Miss Dilly (1) finished first or second we should get a tasty little result.

Boxed 1,6,8,9 $60 gets 250%

Quaddie(s) - $100
4,11,12/ 1,6,8,9/ 2,4,7/ 4,6,7.$40 gets 47.04%
4,11,12/ 1,6,8,9/ 2,4,7/ 2,3,5.$18 gets 16.67%
4,11,12/ 1,6,8,9/ 6,9/ 4,6,7.$12 gets 16.67%
5,6,7,8,9/ 1,6,8,9/ 2,4,7/ 4,6,7.$30 gets 16.67%

Monday, September 1, 2014

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Maryborough

The Game Plan for Maryborough - with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)

Best Bet(s) - $30 win     

R4 No.2 - Wingofwaves  $1.80
The speed map almost assures that this fella will stroll to the top at his leisure but not only does he have the speed to lead, he is in the best form of any horse in the race. His last two placings behind Macworthy and Mumbai Majik have been in races no stronger than this and from the pole position; he will be hard to run down.

Best Value - $10 win x $15 place 

R5 No.9 - Bellingham     $7.50
Even from the 30-metre mark, I’m convinced Bellingham is the leading hope in a pretty even trot race. He has had his problems in the past but this preparation he reeled off a crushing win at Ballarat first-up and even last time he was terrific when sitting parked in a 57.8sec last half. If we get the price marked in today's paper, he is well worth an each way punt.

Best Roughie(s) - $5 win x $20 place   

R8 No.9 - Mooney         $17
It's always a little risky taking on a pacer first up from almost two years on the sidelines however this guy has been trialling pretty well around Melton of recent times. He was asked for some effort in his most recent but he came home in a 28sec last quarter which is speedy enough and from the draw he can drop in for a soft run and make a dash at them late.

Money Race(s)   

Race 6 $50 worth of Flexi Trifectas  
Both Ourcrowninn (1) and Jackabeems (3) have the speed to be involved early and if the latter can get across the former, they may very will dominate the race from there. Our four trifectas will rely on one of the two main hopes winning but we will play a little wider for the placings with Amazing Kano (4), Jaccka Lonny (5) and Three Pints (6) all serious threats.

3/1/4,5,6. $18 gets 600%
1/3/4,5,6. $15 gets 500%
3/4,5,6/1,4,5,6. $9 gets 100%
1/4,5,6/3,4,5,6. $8 gets 88.88%

The Quaddies (x4 worth $100)  

5,8,9/4,5,6/3,5,11/1,5,7,9.$22 gets 20.3%
1,2,6/1,3/3,5,11/1,5,7,9.$22 gets 30.5%
1,2,6/4,5,6/3,5,11/1,5,7,9.$20 gets 18.5%

Sunday, August 31, 2014

Good Form Preview - Sunday @ Mildura

The Game Plan for Mildura – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bets ($50 All Up)
Intransit (Race 5 No.5) $1.50
This guy was back to his absolute best last time when dominating his rivals and although he is drawn a little wider here, he has the speed to be in the early fight and perhaps claim the top even if he isn’t first to the pegs. On what he has shown in the region so far, he looks a horse of immense talent and today is another stepping stone in that direction.

Anarion (Race 8 No.5) $2.10
This guy’s last two wins in really slick last halves have proven he is still on the up. He doesn’t meet a much stronger field here so with the barrier advantage over his main rival in Graceful Art (9), he should be able to go forward at the start and be really tough to beat if he can reel off anything like his recent splits.

Next Best ($30 win)
Colada Mach (Race 2 No.6) $3
This fella has only had three runs since April 2012 but his latest effort was terrific when running on for second behind Anarion at this track. Even though he has the horror draw here, he showed dynamic speed off the arm in his win in January at Mildura so if he can cross them at the start, they will have trouble catching him here.

Best Roughies ($5 win x $10 place)
One Knight Stand (Race 1 No.7) $14
We’re going to have a lash at two roughies in the same race here but each have some little winning chance and an even better place hope. One Knight Stand (7) is an underrated little horse who basically hasn’t had much go his way in all three starts and while the inside of the second row draw is never really ideal, Courage Draft (1) has shown some speed in the past. If that horse holds the top, he will certainly need some luck to get off at some stage but he can run a race regardless.

Elliot Bromac (Race 1 No.11) $17
This fella just hasn’t drawn a barrier of recent times but he was pretty good in a three-year-old race last time from a similar draw and he has a good little sprint if they put the pressure on at the start. While there is no need to break the bank, he is worth a little each-way wager in an even race.

The Money Race
Race 7 ($50 worth of Flexi First Trifectas)
Macray Soiree (3) has really hit his best in recent times and looks the horse to roll here however Yankidoodledanvers (1) is working up to a win and can provide some value while Boltenin (6) looks the other key danger. We will anchor our four trifecta’s heavily around those horses dominating the race.

3/1,6/1,6,8,9. $24 gets 400%
3/8,9/1,6,8,9. $12 gets 200%
1,6/3/1,6,8,9. $9 gets 150%
8,9/3/1,6,8,9. $5 gets 83.33%

Quaddies (x4 worth $80)
5/3,6/3/5. $44 gets 2200%
5/3,6/3/1,3,4,9. $12 gets 150%
5/3,6/1,6,8,9/5. $12 gets 150%
1,3,7,10/3,6/3/5. $12 gets 150%


Saturday, August 30, 2014

Good Form Preview - Saturday @ Cranny

The Game Plan for Cranbourne – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Best Bet ($25 Each Way)

Coltrane Bromac (Race 7 no. 1) $3.50

The Money Races

Race 5 (Flexi Trifectas for $50)
5/ 1,2,3,6/ 1,2,3,6. $30 gets 250%
1,2,3,6/ 5/ 1,2,3,6. $20 gets 166.67%

Race 6 – The OctoTrick (x8 for $110)
13/ 12/ 6,10. $35 gets 1750%
13/ 12/ 4,8. $15 gets 750%
13/ 12/ 3,7. $10 gets 500%
13/ 6,10/ 12. $10 gets 500%
13/ 4,8/ 12. $5 gets 250%
12/ 13/ 6,10. $20 gets 1000%
12/ 13/ 4,8. $10 gets 500%
12/ 13/ 3,7. $5 gets 250%

Race 8 (Flexi Trifectas for $50)
9/ 6/ 4,8. $30 gets 1500%
9/ 4,8/ 6. $20 gets 1000%

The EARLY Quads (x3 for $140)
8/ 3/ 8/ 1,2,4,8. $60 gets 1500%
1,2,6/ 3/ 8/ 1,2,4,8. $40 gets 333.33%
8/ 6,7,8,9/ 8/ 1,2,4,8. $40 gets 250%

The Quads (x4 for $100)
1,2,3,5,6/ 13/ 1,6,11/ 9. $30 gets 200%
1,2,3,5,6/ 13/ 1,6,11/ 4,6,8. $30 gets 66.67%
1,2,3,5,6/ 12/ 1,6,11/ 9. $20 gets 133.33%
1,2,3,5,6/ 12/ 1,6,11/ 4,6,8. $20 gets 44.44%

Friday, August 29, 2014

Good Form Preview - Friday Night @ HQ

The Game Plan for Melton – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
It’s the final Metropolitan meeting of season 2013/14 tonight & I’ve decided to go out with a bang by investing no less than $500 on tonight’s monster Melton Game Plan! The cornerstone of tonight’s punting bonanza will be both the Early and Standard Quads but in total, we’ve have an interest in 9 of the 10 races up for decision so sit back, grab a beer, open the phone account and enjoy!

Best Bets/All-Up ($80 Win)
Karkarooc (Race 3 no. 11) $1.40
This guy has been winning his races from the top end but he looks a very smart customer who should not be stopped by the second row draw.

Just Cala (Race 4 no. 7) $1.60
This filly is coming off a brilliant Breeders Crown win last weekend and if she wasn’t flattened by that effort she can sit anywhere in transit here and still prove far too good.

Shared Interest (Race 10 no. 4) $1.10
This is just icing on the cake. Im my opinion this guy could well be the best Victorian 3YO Trotter going around next term and should certainly finish a fruitful juvenile campaign with success tonight.

Best Value ($40 Win)
Blazeaway Macray (Race 5 no. 1) $4
I’m keen here. This mare has always thrived on short course racing at Melton and she never races better than when allowed to lead and dictate terms from the top. The key for her here is that she should get an uncontested lead and with no obvious pressure horses engaged she can thieve a mid-race quarter and let go when she likes. Tandias Bromac (11) is an obvious threat but she’ll have her work cut out from the draw.

The Money Races (Flexi Trifectas for $60)
Race 4
As mentioned above I think that Just Cala (7) has something of a mortgage on this race and should out-sprint her rivals with only those who also tackled the ABC series that she won likely to join her on the dais.

7/ 1,3,6/ 1,3,6. $42 gets 700%
7/ 1,3,6/ 2,4,8. $18 gets 200%

Race 7
Hilltop Hustler (2) was nothing short of awesome when first up last weekend and if he doesn’t have some kind of ‘second-up syndrome’ he’ll brain this lot tonight. The main questions that require answering are whether he will get the lead and if he does get the lead whether Asoka (1) will kick through and trail him or Alchemy (3) will fly across early and hand up mid-race. I really don’t have a strong opinion on wither front but I do think Hilltop Hustler (2) can win from the lead OR the breeze & we’ve also made provisions for whichever scenario plays out.

2/ 1,8/ 1,3,8,9. $36 gets 600%
2/ 3,9/ 1,3,8,9. $12 gets 200%
2/ 1,8/ 4,5,7,13. $12 gets 150%

The EARLY Quads (x3 for $150)
1,7,9/ 1/ 11/ 7. $69 gets 2300%
1,7,9/ 1/ 11/ 1,3,6. $45 gets 500%
1,7,9/ 3,4,5,7/ 11/ 7. $36 gets 300%

The Quads (x5 gets $110)
1,11/ 9/ 2/ 2,3,9,10. $50 gets 625%
1,11/ 9/ 2/ 4,8. $4 gets 100%
1,11/ 9/ 1,8/ 2,3,9,10. $16 gets 100%
1,11/ 1,2,3,8/ 2/ 2,3,9,10. $32 gets 100%
2,10/ 9/ 2/ 2,3,9,10. $8 gets 100%