Thursday, April 17, 2014

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night @ Ballarat

The Game Plan for Ballarat – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
The Money Races
Race 2
4,8/ 4,8/ 1,2,5,6. $36 gets 600%
4,8/ 1,2,5,6/ 4,8. $14 gets 233.33%

Race 4
9/ 2/ 1,3,4,6,8. $30 gets 500%
9/ 1,3,4,6,8/ 2. $10 gets 200%
2/ 9/ 1,3,4,6,8. $10 gets 200%

Race 6
1,10/ 1,10/ 2,3,4,6,9. $30 gets 300%
1,10/ 2,3,4,6,9/ 1,10. $20 gets 200%

Race 7
3,7,13 Boxed. $14 gets 233.33%
3,7,13/ 3,7,13/ 4,8,11,12. $24 gets 100%
3,7,13/ 4,8,11,12/ 3,7,13. $12 gets 50%

Race 8
1/ 4,8/ 4,8. $18 gets 900%
1/ 4,8/ 2,5,6,7,9. $16 gets 200%
4,8/ 1/ 4,8. $8 gets 400%
4,8/ 1/ 2,5,6,7,9. $8 gets 50%

Race 9
7/ 2,8/ 2,8. $20 gets 1000%
7/ 2,8/ 3,6,9. $30 gets 500%

The Quads (x3 for $120)
1,2,4,7/ 1,10/ 3,7,13/ 1,4,8. $72 gets 100%
1,2,4,7/ 1,10/ 8,11,12/ 1,4,8. $24 gets 33.33%
1,2,4,7/ 4,6/ 3,7,13/ 1,4,8. $24 gets 33.33%

Good Form Preview - Thursday @ Maryborough

The Game Plan for Maryborough – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Best Value ($25 Each Way)
Fullness Of Time (Race 5 no. 12) $8.50

The Money Races - Race 3
3/ 2/ 1,5,7,10,11. $75 gets 1500%
3/ 1,5,7,10,11/ 2. $25 gets 500%

The Quads
10,12/ 9,10/ 1,2,3,4,5,8/ 2,3,5,9. $48 gets 50%
6,7,11,13/ 9,10/ 1,2,3,4,5,8/ 2,3,5,9. $52 gets 27.08%

Wednesday, April 16, 2014

Good Form Preview - Wednesday Night @ Melton

The Game Plan for Melton – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Best Roughies ($5 x $15)
Eliminator (Race 1 no. 10) $11
Argyle Melody (Race 2 no. 2) $11

The Money Races
Race 4
4,7/ 4,7/ 1,6,8. $60 gets 1000%
4,7/ 1,6,8/ 4,7. $20 gets 333.33%

Race 6
1/ 3,4/ 3,4. $40 gets 2000%
1/ 3,4/ 2,7. $20 gets 500%
3,4/ 1/ 2,3,4,7. $20 gets 333.33%

The Quads (x5 for $100)
1/ 1/ 4/ 10,12. $12 gets 600%
1/ 1/ 4/ 2,4,7,8,9,11. $28 gets 466.67%
1/ 1/ 3,5,10/ 10,12. $24 gets 400%
2,4,6,8/ 1/ 4/ 10,12. $32 gets 400%
1/ 3,4/ 4/ 10,12. $4 gets 100%

Good Form Preview - Wednesday @ Horsham

The Game Plan for Horsham – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Best Value ($25 Each Way)
Spokeswoman (Race 5 no. 3) $8
Courageous Emm (Race 6 no. 7) $7

The Quads (x3 for $150)
2,3,5,7,9/ 7,11/ 4,6,9,10,11,12/ 9. $60 gets 100%
2,3,5,7,9/ 7,11/ 4,6,9,10,11,12/ 1,2,4,6,11. $60 gets 20%
2,3,5,7,9/ 5,6,8,10,12/ 4,6,9,10,11,12/ 9. $30 gets 20%

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

Good Form Preview - Tuesday Night @ Shepparton

The Game Plan for Shepparton – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
It might still be early in the week but I think we’ve found ourselves a pretty nice meeting at Shepparton tonight. I’m confident we can nail down atleast three winners at flip of the coin or better so we will couple together our four best chances in a formula three which should turn a good profit if we can get them home. Such is the belief in the best bets we are going to drag out a couple of money races to try and double up on our profits and then we will finish off with a Quaddie split four ways to hopefully ensure a result.

Best Bets/ All Up Formula 3 ($100 gets 25 units)
Our Artistic Leigh (Race 1 No.3) $2.60
You can put a line through this girl’s last start as she went roughly mid-race when second favourite in what was a much stronger race. Prior to that she finished fourth to NSW Oaks contender Spicy Stride and even earlier in her preparation put together two solid wins. She is likely here for a qualifier of the Victoria Oaks so expect her to get the job done on the way to better races.

Passing Thru (Race 3 No.2) $2.10
It was hard to tell just exactly where this guy was at following his first two wins in lower class but perhaps his most impressive performance was his last start third behind Yelspa. He has to sit parked in a much tougher race there and with the likelihood of crossing down to the pegs first and Kensington Palace (7) firing across at the start, he should be in the first two or three in running and looks to have a class edge from there.

Wolfpack (Race 4 No.5) $1.90
Quite simply, although this guy is first-up, he has some talent and looks classes above his rivals here. His winning strike rate of five from 32 is OK and he generally gets the job done when he should. For that reason and the fact that he should find the front in the early stages, he looks a key anchor in our Formula bet today.

Baccarat (Race 5 No.7) $2.50
In a genuine match-race I fancy this fella to just get the upper hand over his major rival Eye Like Candy (5). There is no doubt the latter has plenty of talent and is a winner of five from six however Baccarat (5) has an extra trial under his belt and really turned it on last preparation, going from a promising horse to genuine race-winner. His 10-metre sixth to Keayang Steamer two starts ago says it all. He has made a habit of cleaning up these races when he drops back in grade and hopefully if we are alive, he will finish off the Formula nicely.

The Money Races ($50 flexi trifectas)
Race 3
As mentioned, Passing Thru (2) looks to be a pretty handy horse on the rise and if the scenario ensues where Kensington Palace (7) rushes to the lead over him early, then it's almost impossible to see our top tip being beaten, however we will play one saver trifecta just in case the likely leader turns up in his best form.

2/7/3,4,9. $26 gets 866.67%
2/3,4,9/7. $18 gets 300%
7/2/3,4,9. $6 gets 200%

Race 5
This race is really going to be the turning point of our day from a punting perspective. Both Eye Like Candy (5) and Baccarat (7) looks to be panels above their rivals and for all intents and purposes they should quinella the race. With limited hopes for third we are going to play the trifecta’s outlined to try and make some extra coin from the race.

5,7/5,7/1,9,10,12. $26 gets 325%
5,7/1,9,10,12/5,7. $16 gets 200%
5,7/5,7/2,3,6,11. $8 gets 100%

The Quads (x4)
5,7/8,9/2,10/3,5,10,11. $40 gets 125%
5,7/7,11,12/2,10/3,5,10,11. $24 gets 50%
5,7/8,9/1,5,6,7,11/3,5,10,11. $32 gets 40%
5,7/7,11,12/1,5,6,7,11/3,5,10,11. $24 gets 20%

Monday, April 14, 2014

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Yarra Valley

The Game Plan for Yarra Valley – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
We couldn’t retire on what we profited over the last seven days but it was another winning week and I usually love punting at the picturesque Yarra Valley circuit so I’m confident of kicking the week off on a winning note. Having said that, this is a much more aggressive Game Plan than normal so it could be feast or famine with 1 good value Best Bet, 1 very good value Best Value, 2 Money races & some Quads.

Best Bet ($25 Each Way)
Jean Baptiste (Race 7 no. 8) $4.80
This bloke made a big impression in his debut Aussie prep for Lance Justice, finishing on the dais in all 7 starts and winning 3. He’s trialled pretty well in strong fields without setting the world on fire in preparation for his return but the two crucial keys for him in my opinion are that he’s the most progressive horse engaged and there should be more than enough earl/mid0race pressure to give him a chance to drop on his rivals in the lane.

Best Value ($15 Win $35 Place)
Blitzsuzy (Race 2 no. 6) $11
This filly is no superstar but what she lacks in outright brilliance she makes up for in heart and after facing some very handy horses at her past four or five runs I think she’ll relish the big drop in grade that this race represents. I also think she’ll be hugely advantaged by a solid speed throughout and a crucial switch to the Ross Sugars barn.

The Money Race (Flexi Trifectas for $50 Each)
Race 3
This is aggressive. Simply put, I think Invasive (8) and Nico Serrano (9) will be way too good for their rivals and if they both stay in gait they should run the Quinella. I’ve also isolated likely leader Conchs Critter (4) and the very consistent Drop Of Paradise (3) as the only other threats although this really is a feast or famine kind of bet.

8,9/ 8,9/ 3,4. $30 gets 750%
8,9/ 3,4/ 8,9. $12 gets 300%
8,9/ 3,4/ 3,4. $8 gets 200%

Race 5
The polemarking draw is a tiny concern for Sapphire Swayze (1) here but on the score of talent alone he has panels on his rivals here today. He also has the great Gavin Lang on board so should win comfortably. If he does do that and the in-form Asoka (4) shares a place on the podium with him then we should get something from the Tricks outlined below.

1/ 4/ 2,8. $20 gets 1000%
1/ 2,8/ 4. $10 gets 500%
1/ 4/ 5,6,7. $15 gets 500%
4/ 1/ 2,8. $5 gets 250%

The Quads (x3 for $100)
1/ 2,3,4/ 3,6,8/ 6,7,10,11. $72 gets 200%
1/ 1,6,8/ 3,6,8/ 6,7,10,11. $14 gets 38.89%
4/ 2,3,4,/ 3,6,8/ 6,7,10,11. $14 gets 38.89%

Sunday, April 13, 2014

Good Form Preview - Sunday @ TP

The Game Plan for Tabcorp Park – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)

There's no sugar coating this, we've found ourselves a really tough restricted program at the home of the Victorian trots but in saying that, the one thing we have learnt from the past is that was can search for value and hopefully kick home a decent result with our wide Quaddie.
Best Value ($25 Win)
The Patriach (Race 1 no. 3) $4
Monica My Dear (Race 3 no.11) $6.50
Missanger Management (Race 5 no.6) $6.50
Desdon Murruffy (Race 8 no.10) $6

The Money Race – Race 2 (Flexi Trifecta for $50)
11/2,5,9/ 1,2,4,5,9,10. $30 gets 200%
2,5,9/ 11/ 1,2,4,5,9,10. $20 gets 133.33%

The Quad (x1 for $150)
2,4,6,9,10,11/ 1,5,9,10/ 3,4,7,11/ 7,8,10,11. $100 gets 39.06%