Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Cup Night Good Form - Nyah @ Swan Hill

THE GAME PLAN for Nyah @Swan Hill – with Michael Polster (@MickPolster)

Best Bet

They Call Me Chaos (Race 5 no. 4)  $2.50
Comes off a devastating Mildura success last Wednesday night where he sped to the lead from his wide alley and recorded a new PB of 1:58.9 for the short course. He takes on Mach Beauty tonight and will more than likely have to park outside of that bloke but the way he went last time I doubt Mach Beauty can go with him.

Quaddies (x8)
Getting a little bit radical here but there is method to my madness!
Mach Beauty and They Call Me Chaos should dominate the second leg but there looks to be some value on offer in the other three, particularly if we can get the favourites rolled in a couple of them, which is on the cards with Our Lilly Maloane, The Dip and Born Again Sassy sure to be short but not past the post in my opinion.
Here’s how to play with the usual $100 spend.

6/ 2,4/ 4,6/ 2,4.  $20 gets you 250%.
6/ 2,4/ 1,5,7/ 2,4.  $15 gets you 125%
6/ 2,4/ 4,6/ 6,7,10.  $10 gets you 83.33%
6/ 2,4/ 1,5,7/ 6,7,10.  $5 gets you 27.77%
1,2,3,4,5,7,8,9/ 2,4/ 4,6/ 2,4.  $20 gets you 31.25%
1,2,3,4,5,7,8,9/ 2,4/ 1,5,7/ 2,4.  $15 gets you 15.62%
1,2,3,4,5,7,8,9/ 2,4/ 4,6/ 6,7,10.  $10 gets you 10.41%
1,2,3,4,5,7,8,9/ 2,4/ 1,5,7/ 6,7,10.  $5 gets you 3.47%

STAR TRIALLER – (Racing Tonight)

Miss Elvira (Race 1 no. 1)
Showed talent in three runs last season and looks ready to run a bold race first up tonight from the ace draw going on her narrow trial second at Shepparton last week in a last half of 58.6. Click here to view her most recent trial.

BLACK BOOKERS – (Terang Last Night)

Wheatsheaf Avaball
Did some work out of the gate and again over the final circuit and was all over a winner until being bloused by a sprint-laning Keayang Falcon at the end of a 58.6 final half. His racing style leaves him open to dive-bombers but he is in career-best form for Michelle Manning at present and will be winning a suitable race very soon. Click here to view the run.

Amajorjo
Resumed from a break with a most impressive front-running display to end the night where he recorded 2:00.2 for the 2180m journey and threw down a 57.6 last half at his hapless rivals. He showed promise last season and will be winning plenty of races for Dave Lewis this campaign going on what he did last night. Click here to view the run.

 

 

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