Monday, November 19, 2012

Good Form Preview – Monday @ Stawell


The Game Plan for Stawell – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Best Bet
Lombo Cloud Nine (Race 4 no. 6) ($1.80)
This mare makes things hard on herself as she doesn’t have much gate speed and often does a power of work to get into her races but she has been in great form and this event suits. Two key factors in her favour are the fact that three runners in particular (Peaces Of You, Ruffiano, The Adriatic) all begin quickly and should ensure a fast lead time and that with the small field she’ll have less horses to get past than in many recent runs.

Best Quinellas
Waterslide (Race 6 no. 2) & Cyclades (Race 6 no. 5)
These two are very different pacers but I’m confident they represent the best one-two punch on the programme. The theory is that Waterslide will cross the polemarker soon after the start then either hold the lead with Cyclades sitting quietly in the chair or hand the lead to Cyclades in the hope of out-sprinting him late in the race. There are a few question marks here but that only means better value so take the Quinella plus a range of multiple bets.

Best Trifectas
Race 2
3,5/ 3,5/ 6,8,9. $66 gets 1100%.
3,5/ 6,8,9/ 3,5. $34 gets 566.67%.

Quaddie
6/ 1,4,5,7,10/ 2,5/ 1,2,3,7,8,10. $60 gets 100%.
2,3,7/ 1,4,5,7,10/ 2,5/ 1,2,3,7,8,10. $40 gets 33.33%.



Black Booker (Racing Today)

Tannissa (Race 2 no. 3) ($3)
This very well bred mare first came under notice on Maryborough Cup day when racing tough throughout and only going down narrowly behind Umi. She was brave again last time after racing tough once more behind Jasmine Sheffield and this little drop in grade combined with her handy draw should make her very tough to beat today. Click here to view her most recent run.

Star Trialler (Racing Today)

Back On Deck (Race 1 no. 4) ($16)
He trialled well at Ballarat before an ordinary display when unwanted in betting on debut but has since buttered up with another trial win, this time at Maryborough where he downed Foldem and co finishing off in 59.2. Difficult to know what he’ll do back at the races but well worth monitoring betting for any key moves.

Black Bookers (Gunbower yesterday)

Kyvalley Roy
This guy came under notice with his close-up placing behind Kasyanov in the Maryborough Trotters Cup and was impressive once again when travelling on the turn but only getting out very late at Gunbower yesterday. He is relishing the Country Cup circuit and should break through at that level sooner rather than later. Click here to view the run.

Run Forrest
He is a one-paced warrior but his second run for Glenn Douglas when almost overcoming farcical early fractions for a 1390m race was a ripper. As mentioned, he is best suited when able to push forward and pour the pressure on as he doesn’t have great change-up speed but expect him to pinch a suitable race in coming weeks. Click here to view the run.

Classic Icon
This bloke is no stranger to the Good Form Black Book and he continues to race in great heart, as evidenced by his luckless run in the last at Gunbower yesterday when rattling home after finally getting clear in the lane behind Conflict Of Interest. The John Newberry team is very reliable and this guy will be winning again soon. Click here to view the run.


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