Wednesday, January 30, 2013

Good Form Preview - Wednesday @ Quest

THE GAME PLAN for Shepparton – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

Best Bets

No No No No No (Race 1 no. 5) $2.20
This guy strikes a very winnable race first up and has had the benefit of three recent trials on this track to fit him for this assignment.  He isn’t a brilliant beginner but should muster enough early to keep in front of his main rival Im Jensen and may even work to the lead, which would see him nigh on impossible to run down.

La Pucelle (Race 4 no. 5) $1.80
She shows plenty of potential, having won 5 of her 6 outings and today she is after 4 on the bounce after bringing up the hat trick here last start in 1:56.3 for this journey.  She may have to sit outside of main danger Loose Wire and this won’t be a pushover for her but her class should prevail.

Best Value Bet

Magic Moment Lombo (Race 6 no. 5) $11
Lombo winner from last season who was put away after failing in heats of the Breeders Crown behind Im Smouldering and Just A Bit Sassy and she looks ready to go today after trialling well on this circuit last Thursday.  She meets a few handy ones first up but does have the barrier draw advantage over her more-fancied rivals and I think she has a terrific each way chance.

The Money Race

Race 4
Looks a tricky day for those who like taking the exotics but I think this is the race to target with La Pucelle clearly the testing material and Loose Wire her only real danger so I’m going to base some trifectas around that pair.  Below is how I’m playing with $100 total spend.

5/ 2/ Field. $60 gets you 1000%
5/ 3,4,8/ 2. $20 gets you 666.66%
2/ 5/ Field. $20 gets you 333.33%

Quaddies x2 $100 Outlay
5/ 4,5,8,10,11/ 5,7,9,10,11/ 1,2,5,6,8,12.  $80 gets you 53.33%
2/ 4,5,8,10,11/ 5,7,9,10,11/ 1,2,5,6,8,12.  $20 gets you 13.33%


 
STAR TRIALLERS

No No No No No (Race 1 no. 5) $2.20
David Aiken-prepared 3YO who showed talent last season and he resumes today off the back of three handy trials on this circuit last month, so he should be forward enough to run a big race first up and this looks well within his grasp fresh.

 Magic Moment Lombo (Race 6 no. 5) $11
Didn’t measure up to the really good fillies towards the end of her 2YO campaign but she did win the Lombo Final last season and resumes today off the back of an easy trial success on this track last Thursday night so in an open contest she is worthy of a ticket each way at the generous odds quoted.

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