Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Good Form Preview + Weekend Sectionals

The Game Plans for Geelong
 
Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Best Bets

I’m pretty excited about tonight’s card, as it looks a sensational opportunity for us to build a bank for the Good Form Punters Challenge @ Melton on Saturday night or just to have a crack at the magnificent racing right around Australasia this weekend.
Below are my four Bets Bets on the card. I suggest you take a formula three and hope that all four horses get the prize.

Minti Choice (Race 3 no. 7) $1.90
This guy isn’t overly big but what he lacks in size, he more than makes up for in courage, particularly this campaign. A go-forward horse at almost all costs, he’ll lead or breeze here and it will take a big performance form one of his rivals to see him get rolled.

Blazeaway Macray (Race 4 no. 1) $1.50
She is a very talented mare who arguably ran the race of her career first up at Ballarat when forced to park out through savage mid-race sectionals and still hanging on for second to Lombo Sleek Streak. She’s very likely to lead from the ace alley here and unless something extraordinary happens she should hold her rivals at bay in the run to the line.

La Pucelle (Race 5 no. 9) $2.70
It’s probably fair to say this hugely talented mare wasn’t quite at her best last start but the run was still good and her prior form reads very well for a race of this nature. Also in her favour is the likelihood of a frenetic early tempo with several horses off the front line desperate to go forward at the start. She should sit back, have one crack at them and be a shade too good.

Mach Robyn (Race 6 no. 3) $2
There is a little question mark over this mare as she’s first up from an eight month break but she’s got a fir bit of class on the field she faces here and whether she leads or breezes I’d be surprised if she can’t knock this lot over tonight.

Money Races

Race 1
This looks a super betting race to kick off the night as there are three horses who look miles better than their rivals and two who should fight out the prize. See below for my four Trifecta combinations.

9,10/ 6,9,10/ 6,9,10. $60 gets 1500%.
6/ 9,10/ 9,10. $6 gets 300%
9,10/ 6,9,10/ 2,7. $32 gets 400%.
6/ 9,10/ 2,7. $2 gets 50%.

Race 3
This is another great betting race where Minti Choice (7) holds the key as he really should win and should certainly finish second at worst. Outside him there are also limited chances so get involved with the Trifectas below at some pretty high percentages.

7/ 3,6/ 2,3,6. $80 gets 2000%.
7/ 2/ 3,6. $10 gets 500%.
7/ 3,6/ 9. $10 gets 500%.

Race 4
I’m super bullish about Blazeaway Macray (1) leading from pillar to post in this and if Cute Art (8) lobs her back as expected then she’s almost as good a thing to finish second. Pass It To Billy (5) also looks the clear third pick so have decent go at the straight Trifecta & have plenty of savers all around those numbers.

1/ 8/ 5. $30 gets 3000%.
1/ 8/ 3,9. $30 gets 1500%.
1/ 5/ 8. $10 gets 1000%.
1/ 3,9/ 8. $10 gets 500%.
8/ 1/ 5. $10 gets 1000%.
8/ 1/ 3,9. $10 gets 500%.

Race 6
If the real Mach Robyn (3) turns up here, she will just win. If the everyday Sporty Mac (2) turns up, he’ll run a place. That’s’ the philosophy and these are the Trifectas.

3/ 2/ 6,10. $60 gets 3000%.
3/ 2/ 8,9. $15 gets 750%.
3/ 6,10/ 2. $20 gets 1000%.
3/ 8,9/ 2. $5 gets 250%.

Quaddies (x4)

1/ 3,6,9/ 3/ 2,3,6,7,9. $60 gets 400%.
8/ 3,6,9/ 2/ 2,3,6,7,9. $15 gets 100%.
1/ 3,6,9/ 2/ 2,3,6,7,9. $20 gets 133.33%.
8/ 3,6,9/ 2/ 2,3,6,7,9. $5 gets 33.33%.

Bill Hutchison (@Hutchysays)

Best Bet

Blazeaway Macray (Race 4 no. 1) $1.50
I don’t usually tip shorties but this mare looks the best of good things. A Breeders Crown Consolation winner before going for a spell, she showed new fortitude when sitting in the breeze and narrowly beaten in a hot race first-up at Ballarat. Cute Art (8) is worth coupling with her in exotics as she’ll get the gun run in behind this favourite.

Best Value

Dam Lucky (Race 3 no. 6) $4.00
I’ve been impressed with this guy’s improvement in recent times. He led all the way at Kilmore then came from miles back when fourth to Minti Choice (7) last week. He draws better than that horse this time around and can reverse the decision.

Play of the Day – Race 3

2,3,6,7/ 2,3,4,6,7,9/ 2,3,4,6,7,9. $80 gets 100%.

Quaddie

1,8/ 3,4,9/ 2,3,6/ 1,2,3,6,8,9. $100 gets 92.59%.




Weekend Sectionals

With strong meetings staged @ both Tabcorp Park & Terang last weekend, our clocker has come to the party with selected sectionals for both important cards. Just click here for all the fractional breakdowns @ Melton & Terang last weekend!

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