Thursday, April 4, 2013

Good Form Preview - Thursday at Melton

THE GAME PLAN for Melton – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

The Money Races
These restricted meetings are always a little tricky to work out and today’s card is no exception but I’ve had a good look at the program and come up with races 4,5 and 6 as the best ones to target from an exotic point of view.  I’m going to spend $300 on them, which along with my $100 Quaddie will take my total outlay for the day to $400.

Race 4
Trifecta: 2/ 3,5,6,8,12/ 3,5,6,7,8,10,12,13.  $70 gets you 200%
Trifecta:  3,5,6,8,12/ 2/ 3,5,6,7,8,10,12,13.  $30 gets you 85.71%

Race 5

First Four:  5,9,10/ 5,9,10/ 5,9,10/ 7.  $20 gets you 333.33%
First Four:  5,9,10/ 5,9,10/ 7/ 5,9,10.  $20 gets you 333.33%
First Four:  5,9,10/ 7/ 5,9,10/ 5,9,10.  $10 gets you 166.66%
First Four:  5,9,10/ 5,9,10/ 5,9,10/ Field.  $20 gets you 37.03%
First Four:  5,9,10/ 5,9,10/ Field/ 5,9,10.  $20 gets you 37.03%
First Four:  5,9,10/ Field/ 5,9,10/ 5,9,10.  $10 gets you 18.51%

Race 6

Trifecta:  5/ 1,6,10/ 1,3,6,9,10,12,13.  $72 gets you 400%
Trifecta:  1,6,10/ 5/ 1,3,6,9,10,12,13.  $28 gets you 155.55%

QUADDIES X4 $100 spend
2/ 5,9,10/ 5/ 1,2,5,7,8,9,11.  $25 gets you 119.04%
2/ 5,9,10/ 1,6,10/ 1,2,5,7,8,9,11.  $25 gets you 39,68%
3,5,6,8,12/ 5,9,10/ 5/ 1,2,5,7,8,9,11.  $25 gets you 23.80%
3,5,6,8,12/ 5,9,10/ 1,6,10/ 1,2,5,7,8,9,11.  $18 gets you 7.93%

BLACK BOOKER – Geelong Last Night

Lively Princess
Broke in the score up and was well out the back on settling down before she ducked and weaved her way through the field over the final 400m to charge into third spot behind Eljulio at the end of a 58.9 final half.  She is now ODM courtesy of that indiscretion at the start but she is probably better off left to balance up early in her races anyway and expect her to be dangerous in whatever she contests next.

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