Thursday, May 23, 2013

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night @ Echuca

THE GAME PLAN for Echuca – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

VALUE BET

Beachstar (Race 4 no. 7) $6
This bloke has been crying out to win one at odds for a little while now and he looks to have found a race he can be dangerous in tonight as he should trail likely leader Beau Romulus, or end up three-back the inside if Miss Elvira happens to spear to the front from out wide, and with a cheap run on the pegs I’m expecting him to be hard to hold out over the concluding stages at nice each way odds.  I’m having $30 x $70 on him.

THE MONEY RACE

Race 5
This looks a great race to target with Illawong Joyful the one to beat with Fantastic Arden the upset material and two strong place chances in the form of Saint Liliana and Pensicola so I’m going to base some skinny Trifectas around them.  Below is how I’m spending $100.

4/ 3/ 1,5.  $50 gets you 2500%
4/ 1,5/ 3.  $30 gets you 1500%
3/ 4/ 1,5.  $20 gets you 1000%

QUADDIES X 2 $100 Total Spend
1,6,7/ 4/ 7/ 10.  $15 gets you 500%
1,6,7/ 3,4/ 5,6,7,8/ 1,5,9,10.  $85 gets you 88.54%

STAR TRIALLER

Manuka Man (Race 1 no. 9) $2.80
Our Sir Vancelot 4YO on debut for Luke Primmer who should take beating first up going by his latest trial success at Cobram a month ago where he slipped home in 57.5.  The back row draw over the 1755m is a hurdle but he follows out a fast beginner and should settle in a striking position.

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