Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Good Form Preview - Wednesday Night @ Ballarat

THE GAME PLAN for Ballarat – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

ALL UP
There are a number of tricky races on tonight’s card but there are also a few ‘easy kills’ and I’ve come up with the below All Up as my one big go for the night.  I’m going to throw $300 at it and if I get a return of around $700 I’ll be pretty happy.

Quinella:      Race 2 no’s 2 Fifth And Broadway and 4 Doomed
Win:               Race 5 no. 6 Hexham Heartbeat
Quinella:      Race 8 no’s 3 Colby Reilly and 6 Nogueira

BEST VALUE BET

Exciteusinthecity (Race 4 no. 6) $5    $30 win x $70 place
I realise there are only 6 runners here and there will be no third dividend but I’m going to take the punt and have a good go at this guy each way in the hope that he doesn’t miss the top two.  He is back with Darren Cole after a successful campaign in Sydney with Darren Hancock where he contested the Chariots of Fire behind Christen Me at his latest start back in March, and with all due respect to his rivals tonight, none of them would dream of being in a race of that stature.  He has been trialling stylishly for his return, including a victory over star Kiwi mare Donegal Delight at Geelong 9 days ago in fast time and I think he will run a mighty race first up.  

QUADDIES X 2 $100 Total Spend
1,4,5,6,7/ 6/ 1,11,12/ 1.  $45 gets you 300%
1,4,5,6,7/ 6/ 1,11,12/ 3,4,6,8,10,11.  $55 gets you 61.11%


The Game Plan for Ballarat – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Bray Raceway is a much faster and fairer track following its refurbishment so we can expect some exciting racing tonight and I can see a couple at odds helping us to a profit along with a very skinny all-up and one straight-out Quad.

Best Bets/ All-Up
Race 2 Quinella: Fifth And Broadway (2) & Doomed (4).
Hexham Heartbeat (Race 5 no. 6) $1.80
Race 8 Quinella: Colby Reilly (3) & Nogueira (6).

If you double your money here it’s happy days indeed.

Best Value
Sarum Knight (Race 1 no. 4) $4 ($25 EW)
In a very even Claimer to kick off the card I’m happy to take the $4 that this bloke can work to the front and hold his rivals at bay. He improved on recent efforts when first-up for Andy Gath last start and given that stable is on fire right now, I’m happy to get on board.

Best Roughie
Village Peach (Race 7 no. 8) $11 ($25 EW)
There is no Sprint Lane at Bray Raceway so this mare will need a shade of luck in the lane but if Bettor Move (1) can hold the top as expected and she can hunt through and keep that horse’s back, then the $11 will look very juicy indeed. She is also a gun miler in #goodform so may be the one to provide your biggest win all night.

The Money Race – Race 5
I’ve already outline the fact that Hexham Heartbeat (6) should be winning this with ease and with limited chances to fill a hole I reckon it’s a nice race to target for exotics.

6/ 1,8/ 1,5,7,8. $36 gets 600%
6/ 5,7/ 1,5,7,8. $14 gets 233.33%

Quaddies (x4)
Field/ 6/ 1,2,9,10,11,12/ 1,3,8,11. $100 gets 83.33%


Star Trialler (Racing Today)
Exciteusinthecity (race 4 no. 6)
This bloke has clearly benefited from his time in Sydney and after two recent trial wins, the most recent of which saw him defeat Queen of the Pacific aspirant Donegal Delight at Geelong on May 13, he should go close tonight.

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