Sunday, June 16, 2013

Good Form Preview - Sunday Session at Shepparton

THE GAME PLAN for Shepparton – with Michael Polster (@mickpolster)

It’s not too often I get excited about a restricted meeting on a Sunday but I’m loving the look of today’s program from a punting point of view and I’ve come up with an All Up, Best Value Bet, three Money Races and a crack at the Quaddie where there looks to be some value on offer in the last leg as the best way to attack the card.  Here we go!  

ALL UP
On a great punting program I think there are 3 good things in the form of Highview Jackie (Race 1 no. 3), Maybe Better (Race 2 no. 3) and Authorized Race 5 no. 8) and you can back them all straight out at the short odds if you wish but I’m going to take them in an all up for $50 to make it a little bit more exciting!  We won’t get rich but it looks a great way to double our money. 

BEST VALUE BET

Final Flutter (Race 7 no. 3) 4.50          $15 win x $35 place
My speed map has this guy crossing those to his inside to take up the early running before more than likely handing up to Whatacracker and if that scenario plays out I think he has a terrific each way chance as he races best sit-sprint and would only need to reproduce his handy second to What A Fine Fella here three back from a similar position to be extremely hard to hold out.

THE MONEY RACES

Race 1
Highview Jackie looks past the post here on the strength of her Aussie debut victory at Charlton with Dancinwithjodi and Miss Fidelity clear second and third picks and I think they look a great base for some First Fours.  Below is how I’m spending $50.

3/ 1,5/ 1,5/ 8.  $10 gets you 500%
3/ 1,5/ 8/ 1,5.  $10 gets you 500%
3/ 1,5/ 1,5/ 2,4,6,7,9,10.  $15 gets you 125%
3/ 1,5/ 2,4,6,7,9,10/ 1,5.  $15 gets you 125%

Race 2
Maybe Better looks a good thing here as she should pounce on the lead and dictate the terms with Artistic Opal either sitting behind her or at worst three-back the pegs so I’m going to take some Trifectas around that pair plus another one leaving Artistic Opal out of calculations just in case things don’t go to plan.  Below is how I’m spending $50.

3/ 1/ 2,4,10,11.  $19 gets you 475%
3/ 2,4,10,11/ 1.  $19 gets you 475%
3/ 2,4,10,11/ 2,4,10,11.  $12 gets you 100%

Race 5
Authorized draws awkwardly here and will need a little bit of luck but I still think he will be too strong with Pensicola a clear second pick from the ideal draw so I’m going to base some Trifectas around the pair.  Below is how I’m spending $50.

8/ 1/ 2,4,6,9,10,11.  $40 gets you 666.66%
8/ 2,4,9/ 1.  $10 gets you 333.33%

QUADDIES x 4 $100 total outlay
3/ 8/ 1/ 2,3,6,7,12.  $20 gets you 400%
3/ 8/ 2,7,10/ 2,3,6,7,12.  $30 gets you 200%
7,8,9,11/ 8/ 1/ 2,3,6,7,12.  $20 gets you 100%
7,8,9,11/ 8/ 2,7,10/ 2,3,6,7,12.  $30 gets you 50%

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