Good Form Preview - Wednesday @ Yarra Valley

The Game Plan for Yarra Valley – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

There are only seven races @ Victoria’s most picturesque track today but there’s plenty of quality on show and if we target the opening three races & have a good crack at the Quad I’ll be shocked if we’re not in front ahead of tonight’s Bendigo card.

Best Bet

Kazaree (Race 1 no. 2) $1.90
Put simply, today’s opening race looks put on for this bloke who ran the race of his life behind Baccarat at this track a fortnight back and has been knocking on the door at all three runs for Ross Sugars this preparation. I’m happy to take $1.60 and if he opens any longer than that then have a decent crack.

The Money Races

Race 1
As mentioned, Kazaree (2) looks close to a good thing here while Cobargo Jack (8) appears equally likely to finish second or third at very worst. Basing my wagers around that philosophy, I’ll be taking the below combinations for an outlay of $50.

2/ 8/ 1. $17 gets 1700%

2/ 8/ 3,4,6,9. $20 gets 500%
2/ 1/ 8. $5 gets 600%
2/ 3,4,6,9/ 8. $8 gets 200%

Race 2

This looks a freakishly good betting race where Tezz Khora (1) should lead, Blazing Orion (8) should sit on his back and they should run one-two with relative ease. I’ve played skinny for third to try & maximise our profit from the race but you can play a little wider if you just want the result.

1/ 8/ 2,4,9,12. $30 gets 750%

8/ 1/ 2,4,9,12. $20 gets 500%

Race 3

Kiwi record holder Border Control (2) should really win this but the matter has been confused slightly by one of Victoria’s fastest starters, Ginger Bliss (1), drawing the pole. Regardless of what happens early I’m near enough to certain that they’ll run one-two and if Benoah (8) can hunt up & hold a handy peg-line spot he’s a great chance of running third or fourth and putting genuine value into the multiples outlined below.

2/ 1/ 8/ Field. $20 gets 285.71%

2/ 1/ Field/ 8. $15 gets 214.29%
1/ 2/ 8/ Field. $10 gets 142.86%
1/ 2/ Field/ 8. $5 gets 71.43%

Quaddies (x3)

1,2,5,6,8/ 2,8/ 1,2,6/ 5. $50 gets 166.67%
1,2,5,6,8/ 2,8/ 1,2,6/ 3. $30 gets 100%
1,2,5,6,8/ 2,8/ 1,2,6/ 6. $20 gets 66.67%

Star Trialler (Racing Today)

Ginger Bliss (Race 3 no. 1) $2.80
This bloke is a brilliant beginner and a very smart horse overall that finished off a recent Kilmore trial win in 56.7 seconds to beat the handy Major Steppe by no less than 60m. He takes on an equine freak today in Border Control (2) but must be conceded a chance from the ideal draw.