Good Form Preview - Tuesday Night @ Shepparton

The Game Plan for Shepparton – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
It’s probably fair to say that this card isn’t as inviting as yesterdays programme @ Charlton but with even & tricky fields we can sometimes snare some serious value. Personally, I’m keen on four horses ranging in price from $4.50 to $12 in today’s Herald Sun and I’m going to back them all on an Each Way basis. I’m also going to target 1 Money Race to kick off the card and two staggered Quads.

Best Value ($25 Each Way)

Attack On Command (Race 1 no.5) $4.50
This guy has been in terrific form of recent times and if he can find the front early without spending too much petrol as I expect then it would be a shock to see them run him down.

Jusamirel (Race 3 no. 11) $4.50

This guy drew identically to where he does today before sweeping around his rivals, crossing the line first but losing the race on protest last time out. The horse he lost that protest to, Stunning Jasper (5), will be his biggest obstacle again here but he is flying and should go very close.

Fergus Mactavish (Race 5 no. 1) $4.80

He is another horse racing at the absolute peak of his powers and whether he leads them around here or sits in behind a horse like Conflict Of Interest (3) he should have something to offer at the knock.

Best Roughie ($25 Each Way)

Trottin Rosco (Race 4 no. 9) $12
We’re calling this guy a Roughie because he’s paying $12 in today’s paper but the truth is I’m going to back him like he’s a Best Value player. I’ve always had plenty of time for this guy and with plenty of early speed likely to set the race up for him and an encouraging trial win under his belt I think he will be very tough to beat.

The Money Race

Race 1

As mentioned above, I’m hoping Attack On Command (5) can work his way across the field here because if he does then he should finish no worse than second w/ limited chances to beat him home or even run second for mine.

5/ 1,3,9/ 1,3,9. $21 gets 350%

5/ 1,3,9/ 2,4,6,8. $12 gets 100%
1,3,9/ 5/ 1,3,9. $12 gets 200%
1,3,9/ 5/ 2,4,6,8. $5 gets 41.67%

The Quads (x2)

3,7,9/ 1,3,5/ 6,7,11,12/ 1,2,7. $54 gets 50%
1,3,7,9/ 1,3,5,6/ 5,6,7,11,12/ 1,2,4,7. $46 gets 14.38%

The Game Plan for Shepparton - with Andrew Evans (@AndrewEvansHRV)

Best Bet ($50)

(Race 3 No 11 Jusamirel) $4.50
This guy was first across the line last start but broke stride on the line and lost the race on protest.  If he can work into a forward position without doing a heap of work from his second row draw as he did last start I think he will be very hard to hold out in the lane.

Best Value ($25 Each Way)
(Race 2 No 1 Lynmarg Lady) $11
This mare has been finishing off her races well after settling back along the pegs. She gets her best draw here in recent times and she should have enough speed to kick up and lead early then take a sit behind likely leader Goldiedomic and run a big race at great each odds.

Money Race ($50 flexi first four's)
Race 2
I think that Goldiedomic will work forward off the gate and find the lead here with my best value runner Lynmarg Lady sitting behind it. If that occurs I think they are the two main chances in the race so I have worked some first four bets around those runners filling two out of the first three positions.

5/ 1/ 8,9/ field $16 gets 100%
5/ 8,9/ 1/ field $9 gets 56%
5/ 1/ field/ 8,9 $13 gets 81%
1/ 5/ 8,9/ field $7 gets 43%
1/ 5/ field/ 8,9 $5 gets 31%

Quaddies x4
3,7,9/ 1,3/ 6/ 1,2,7 $37.50 gets 208%
3,7,9/ 5/ 6/ 1,2,7 $12.50 gets 139%
3,7,9/ 1,3/ 5,7,10,11/ 1,2,7 $37.50 gets 52%
3,7,9/ 5/ 5,7,10,11/ 1,2,7 $12.50 gets 35%

TAB.COM.AU HITS & MEMORIES

MOVE OF THE WEEK:
Globe Derby September 16: Brace For Impact $16 into $4.60 (3^rd)
($150 each way @ $16; $250 @ $9; $400 @ $5.50).

WHERE THERE’S SMOKE THERE’S FIRE:

Gloucester Park September 16: Four Grinners $4.50 into $2.20 (1^st);
Albion Park September 17: Ravishing Reward $6 into $2.40 (1^st);
Wagga September 20: Home In Indiana $8 into $4.80 (1^st);
Gloucester Park September 20: Chloe Vargarita $4 into $2.20 (1^st);
Port Pirie September 20: Ultimate Call $12 into $6 (1^st).

LEFT IT IN THE BAG:

Albion Park September 16: Melton Bonny Mabel $9 into $4 (2^nd);
Shepparton September 18: Juke Kartel $26 into $9 (unplaced);
Gold Coast September 19: Gargarra $3.60 into $1.75 (2^nd);
Gold Coast September 20: Lethal Rocket $2.60 into $1.50 (unplaced);
Menangle September 21: Franco Noriega $3 into $1.70 (unplaced).

HITS:

Menangle September 21: Ballochbuie $1000 at $6 ($5000+ return);
Wagga September 20: Look At Russo $2500 at $3 ($5000+);
Gloucester Park September 20: Sparkling Seelster $700 at $8 ($4900+);
Melton September 20: Brief Glance $600 at $8 ($4200+);
Gloucester Park September 16: La Stella Del Mare $500 at $9 ($4000+).