Tuesday, October 1, 2013

Good Form Preview - Tuesday @ Echuca

The Game Plan for Echuca – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

Best Bet ($50 Win)

Attack On Command (Race 4 no. 1) $3

This is something of a follow-up job given I backed this guy last time and he ran a pretty good race from the head of affairs. The key factor for him here will be holding Stonethachristian (2) out early because if he leads around this very tight top-end biased circuit and goes as well as he did when leading everywhere but the post at Shepparton three starts back he should be winning tonight.
 

Best Roughie ($10 x $40)

Dance With Mia (Race 5 no. 1) $11

Almost every horse engaged here can win with the right run and in such an even field, the polemarking draw will be crucial. Also critical to this mare’s chances are the fact that she has the gate speed to lead early and then hand up if she so chooses so the double-figure quote will be juicy if we get it.
 

The Money Races

Race 4

As mentioned above, I’m pretty keen on Attack On Command (1) here and even if he does get rolled, I think he’ll still cling on for second. There are also limited hopes to fill the other places on the podium so this looks a nice race to get us some easy folding. Take the Trifectas below for 1 $50 outlay.

1/ 2,3,8/ 2,3,4,7,8. $36 gets 300%

2,3/ 1/ 2,3,4,7,8. $14 gets 175%
 

Race 7

Timeseel (1) does look to have this race at his mercy from the polemarking draw but I’ve got plenty of respect for Stormed Out (4) who hasn’t been far away in better races than this at his past two starts. Both horse will need to finish on the podium for us to jag a result but there’s enough potential for value around them to make this a nice Money Race so take the tricks below and half-hope for a minor upset of sorts.

1/ 4/ 3,8. $16 gets 800%

1/ 4/ 2,7,9,10. $16 gets 800%

1/ 3,8/ 4. $8 gets 400%

4/ 1/ 3,8. $5 gets 250%

4/ 1/ 2,7,9,10. $5 gets 125%
 

The Quads (x4) 

1/ 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,9,11/ 1,4,6,7,9,10/ 1. $42 gets 77.78%

1/ 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,9,11/ 1,4,6,7,9,10/ 4. $11 gets 20.38%

2,3/ 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,9,11/ 1,4,6,7,9,10/ 1. $36 gets 33.33%

2,3/ 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,9,11/ 1,4,6,7,9,10/ 4. $11 gets 10.19%



The Game Plan for Echuca with Andrew Evans (@AndrewEvansHRV)
Best Value
(Race 1 No 7 Lynmarg Lady ) ($20W/$80P) $8
This mare is drawn nicely here inside the back row and should hold the back of the one drawn in front of her who is the likely leader. She produces her best when she is saved up for one run and in a race that doesn’t have a lot of depth she should get conditions to suit on this tight on-pace favoured circuit.  
Best Roughie
(Race 7 No 7 Lycoming Racer ) ($50 Place)  $31
This bloke had been performing pretty poorly leading up to his last run at Shepparton but he turned it around with a much improved run with little luck behind some inform horses. He has enough speed to hold the back of short priced favourite TIMESEEL and whilst he will find it very hard to beat him he looks great value to run a place.
Money Race
Race 7 Flexi First Four’s ($50)
1/ 4,7/ 4,7/ 3,8 $22.50 gets 562.50%
4/ 1/ 7/ 3,8  $6 gets 300%
1/ 4,7/ 3,8/ 4,7 $12.50 gets 312.50%
4/ 7/ 1/ 3,8 $2 gets 100%
4/ 1/ 3,8/ 7 $4 gets 200%
1/ 4,7/ 4,7/ 2,10 $3 gets 75%
Quaddie x3
1,2/ 1,3,5,6,7/ 1,3,7,10/ 1 $70 gets 175%
1,2/ 1,3,5,6,7/ 1,3,7,10/ 4 $25 gets 62.5%

1,2/ 1,3,5,6,7/ 1,3,7,10/ 7 $5 gets 12.5%
TAB.COM.AU HITS & MEMORIES
 
MOVE OF THE WEEK:
Ballarat September 25: Sienna Sun $31 into $6.50 (unplaced)
($100 each way @ $31; $150 each way @ $16; $250 @ $7.50).

WHERE THERE’S SMOKE THERE’S FIRE: 
Albion Park September 23: Tinted Pearl $5 into $2.60 (1st);
Pinjarra September 23: Mojave Desert $21 into $9 (1st);
Gloucester Park September 27: Where And When $2.60 into $1.45 (1st);
Menangle September 28: Rainbow Jay Jay $3 into $1.9 (1st);
Globe Derby September 28: Tarchen $5.50 into $2.60 (1st).

LEFT IT IN THE BAG:
Albion Park September 23: Lombo La Freebie $6.50 into $3.60 (2nd);
Shepparton September 24: Shootforthestarzzz $4.40 into $1.80 (unplaced);
Bathurst September 25: Claire Bogan $17 into $7 (unplaced);
Penrith September 26: Jerseylicious $6.50 into $2.60 (2nd);
Gloucester Park September 27: Turnpike Cruiser $6 into $2.40 (2nd).

HITS:
Albion Park September 23: All Dreams Aside $900 at $8 ($6300+ return);
Shepparton September 24: Art Of Fame $500 at $13 ($6000+);
Launceston September 22: Willie Winalot $700 at $9 ($5600+);
Melton September 27: Cut For An Ace $300 at $15 ($4200+);
Bathurst September 25: Tee Wrap City $5000 at $1.75 ($3750+).

MISSES:
Launceston September 22: Ima Lucky Guy $7000 at $1.50;
Pinjarra September 23: Millwoods Delight $5000 at $1.96 (place);
Menangle September 28: Mister Chow $5000 at $1.80;
Newcastle September 27: Angel Delight $4320 at $1.55;
Gloucester Park September 27: Chloe Vargarita $4000 at $1.20.

PRE-POST THIS WEEK:
4/10/2013 City Of Melton Plate XXV Open(4YO&5YO) $50,000 Tabcorp Park (VIC) G2
4/10/2013 Scotch Notch Memorial Open(TM0+) $20,000 Tabcorp Park (VIC) G3
6/10/2013 Mountain River Processors Methven (NZ) Cup Open $35,000 Methven (NZ) G3

 

 

 

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