Friday, November 22, 2013

Good Form Preview - Tri-Code Night @ Cranny

The Game Plan for Cranbourne – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Best Bet ($50 Win)
Cowboy Cadillac (Race 3 no. 5) $1.60
If you’re looking for one stone cold moral at an OK price I reckon this guy is it. He has been racing in better class than this of late and was brave from the top end at Melton last time out so if he  lobs the lead or breeze as expected I can’t see them holding him out.

The Money Races ($50 Flexi Trifectas)
Race 1
Unless he gets shuffled further back than I’m expecting from the ace alley I really think Stormee (1) is the horse to beat here and should finish no worse than second tonight. There are plenty of others who can fill up the podium but it’s the sort of race where we can get a big value result.

1/ 2,6,7,9/ 2,3,6,7,8,9,11. $36 gets 150%
2,6,7,9/ 1/ 2,3,6,7,8,9,11. $14 gets 58.33%

Race 2
This is one of those rare RBD races where the best horses have all happened to draw pretty well and should dominate proceedings as a result. If things go even close to plan then the top four picks should fight out the finish so box them all up and hope the favourite doesn’t win.

1,2,3,9 Boxed. $50 gets 208.33%

Race 6
Stuck In Second (8) was slightly below his bets last start at Melton but he’s the best horse here for sure and should finish second at very worst. The only ones that can trouble him are the improving Supersub (6), the enigmatic Royal Deviate (1) and likely leader Evil Trickster (3) who may get no pressure if and when he finds the top.

8/ 1,3,6/ 1,2,3,5,6. $36 gets 300%
1,3,6/ 8/ 1,2,3,5,6. $14 gets 116.67%

The Quads
6/ 4,7/ 8/ 2,3,9. $30 gets 500%
6/ 4,7/ 1,3,6/ 2,3,9. $36 gets 200%
3,7/ 4,7/ 8/ 2,3,9. $24 gets 200%
3,7/ 4,7/ 1,3,6/ 2,3,9. $10 gets 27.78%

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