Monday, July 28, 2014

Good Form Preview - Monday @ Stawell

The Game Plan for Stawell – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
I’m pleased to report it was a pretty successful little weekend with solid wins @ both Melton & Ballarat, but the Gods have been over-kind with a very tough meeting confronting us at Stawell today. Despite the tricky nature of the programme it will not stop us punting however and I still think if we play smart with our 3 Best Bets packaged p into a low risk Formula 2 along with 1 Best Roughie, 1 Money race and 4 Quads we can come away with a pretty good result.

Best Bets/ Formula 2 ($90 gets 30 units)
Usage (Race 1 no.6) $2.50
This guy has no tactical or edge over his rivals but he’s just going much, much better than them. The truth is he’s always been a handy pacer and if he brings the effort and application he’s brought to his past two starts he’ll bully this lot into submission today.

Keayang Storm (Race 5 no. 6) $1.30
I’m actually not this guy’s biggest ever fan but this race really does look his to lose today. The only little key might be at the start because if he’s allowed to roll past Punchinello (5) there’s virtually no hope that they will run him down but if he has to sit parked then things do get just that little bit tougher for him.

Faraway Man (Race 7 no. 2) $1.80
He rarely draws the front line this guy but he does have some gate speed when circumstances land in his favour and that is what looks like happening tonight. He’s also just a bit better than this lot so should definitely win if he leads and still probably salute if he doesn’t.

Best Roughie ($5 Win x $10 Place)
Gaelic Lass (Race 4 no. 4) $34
Just having a small interest bet here but in a very even race I don’t think the above trotter should be anything like $34. In fact I think he should be less than half that price.

The Money Race – Race 5
As mentioned above I’ve got Keayang Storm (6) winning this race pretty comfortably, If he leads and Punchinello (5) takes the trail they really should run one-two here but things get a little more confusing if Punchinello (5) opts to hold the top.

6/ 5/ 7. $35 gets 3500%
6/ 5/ 9. $20 gets 2000%
6/ 7/ 5. $10 gets 1000%
6/ 9/ 5. $5 gets 500%

The Quads (x4 for $125)
7,8,10,11/ 6/ 4,5,7,11,12,13/ 2. $74 gets 308.33%
7,8,10,11/ 6/ 4,5,7,11,12,3/ 1,7,8. $36 gets 50%
4,9/ 6/ 4,5,7,11,12,13/ 2. $6 gets 50%
4,9/ 6/ 4,5,7,11,12,13/ 1,7,8. $9 gets 25%

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.