Thursday, July 10, 2014

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night @ Swan Hill



The Game Plan for Swan Hill – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bets ($50 win)
Buddyonit (Race 1 No.8) $2.20
This guys three runs since returning from a spell have all had merit, particularly two starts back when he got within 2 metres of Hellovaway. He led on that occasion but then showed some versatility when coming from off them last time and reeling off a pretty slick third quarter at this track. If things work out to plan here he can follow through Bonus Time (2) and lob a handy position in running.

Rumbustious (Race 2 No.9) $2.20
I’m pretty keen to back this fella today. He comes right down in class having taken on a Vicbred Super Series heat and final and after lobbing back in the field in his heat, he really had no chance given how slowly they went. Prior to that he was mixing it with Rostevarran at Melton and Paris Pepperell so he really should have a class edge tonight.

The Money Races ($46 worth of Flexi Trifectas)
Race 4
While I do think Gian (1) is the horse to beat from the ace alley, they will be lining up to take the prize with roughie Kilbirnie North View (2) not hopeless along with both the last start winner Graceful Art (3) and Thesonofgeorgia (9) for that reason we will play the following two trifectas.

1/2,3,9/2,3,6,8,9,10.  $28 gets 186.67%
2,3,9/1/2,3,6,8,9,10. $18 gets 120%

Race 5 ($46 worth of Flexi Trifectas)
This looks a terrific betting race with the highly touted Romes Burning (1) returning from a break but still looking the horse to beat. Outside of him Our Walden Bury (5) has the absolute class and looks a clear second pick so hopefully we can land a multiple with one of the following three trifectas.

1/5/2,4,6. $24 gets 800%
1/2,4,6/5. $12 gets 400%
5/1/2,4,6. $10 gets 333%

Quaddies (x4 worth $108)
6/1,2,3,9/1,5/2. $40 gets 500%
6/1,2,3,9/1,5/1,5,6,10,11. $20 gets 50%
3,4,5/1,2,3,9/1,5/2. $24 gets 100%
3,4,5/1,2,3,9/1,5/1,5,6,10,11. $24 gets 20%



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