Sunday, August 31, 2014

Good Form Preview - Sunday @ Mildura

The Game Plan for Mildura – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bets ($50 All Up)
Intransit (Race 5 No.5) $1.50
This guy was back to his absolute best last time when dominating his rivals and although he is drawn a little wider here, he has the speed to be in the early fight and perhaps claim the top even if he isn’t first to the pegs. On what he has shown in the region so far, he looks a horse of immense talent and today is another stepping stone in that direction.

Anarion (Race 8 No.5) $2.10
This guy’s last two wins in really slick last halves have proven he is still on the up. He doesn’t meet a much stronger field here so with the barrier advantage over his main rival in Graceful Art (9), he should be able to go forward at the start and be really tough to beat if he can reel off anything like his recent splits.

Next Best ($30 win)
Colada Mach (Race 2 No.6) $3
This fella has only had three runs since April 2012 but his latest effort was terrific when running on for second behind Anarion at this track. Even though he has the horror draw here, he showed dynamic speed off the arm in his win in January at Mildura so if he can cross them at the start, they will have trouble catching him here.

Best Roughies ($5 win x $10 place)
One Knight Stand (Race 1 No.7) $14
We’re going to have a lash at two roughies in the same race here but each have some little winning chance and an even better place hope. One Knight Stand (7) is an underrated little horse who basically hasn’t had much go his way in all three starts and while the inside of the second row draw is never really ideal, Courage Draft (1) has shown some speed in the past. If that horse holds the top, he will certainly need some luck to get off at some stage but he can run a race regardless.

Elliot Bromac (Race 1 No.11) $17
This fella just hasn’t drawn a barrier of recent times but he was pretty good in a three-year-old race last time from a similar draw and he has a good little sprint if they put the pressure on at the start. While there is no need to break the bank, he is worth a little each-way wager in an even race.

The Money Race
Race 7 ($50 worth of Flexi First Trifectas)
Macray Soiree (3) has really hit his best in recent times and looks the horse to roll here however Yankidoodledanvers (1) is working up to a win and can provide some value while Boltenin (6) looks the other key danger. We will anchor our four trifecta’s heavily around those horses dominating the race.

3/1,6/1,6,8,9. $24 gets 400%
3/8,9/1,6,8,9. $12 gets 200%
1,6/3/1,6,8,9. $9 gets 150%
8,9/3/1,6,8,9. $5 gets 83.33%

Quaddies (x4 worth $80)
5/3,6/3/5. $44 gets 2200%
5/3,6/3/1,3,4,9. $12 gets 150%
5/3,6/1,6,8,9/5. $12 gets 150%
1,3,7,10/3,6/3/5. $12 gets 150%


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